GGOALVIO

Indonesia · Piala Presiden · 7/29/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Persebaya Surabaya · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Persebaya Surabaya are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (WDD), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while PSMS Medan are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Persebaya Surabaya hold a 58.8-point power-rating edge (75.5 v 16.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.7% in the Piala Presiden, while Persebaya Surabaya holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Persebaya Surabaya

Probability

60.7%

Model confidence

60.7%

Persebaya Surabaya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Persebaya SurabayaWDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.67/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
PSMS MedanL

GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Persebaya SurabayaPSMS Medan
40.0Attack11.1
86.7Defence22.2
86.7Form0.0
75.5Power16.7
1.89xG0.75
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