Persebaya Surabayavs
PSMS Medan
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Piala Presiden · 7/29/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Persebaya Surabaya · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Persebaya Surabaya are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (WDD), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while PSMS Medan are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Persebaya Surabaya hold a 58.8-point power-rating edge (75.5 v 16.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.7% in the Piala Presiden, while Persebaya Surabaya holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Persebaya Surabaya
Probability
60.7%
Model confidence
60.7%
Persebaya Surabaya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.67/1.33
GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00