Persebaya Surabayavs
Port FC
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Piala Presiden · 8/1/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Persebaya Surabaya · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Persebaya Surabaya are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (WWDD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Port FC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Persebaya Surabaya hold a 22.5-point power-rating edge (75.5 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Piala Presiden, while Persebaya Surabaya holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Persebaya Surabaya
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Persebaya Surabaya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/1.00
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80