Persebaya Surabayavs
Arema FC
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Piala Presiden · 8/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Persebaya Surabaya · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Persebaya Surabaya are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Arema FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Persebaya Surabaya hold a 29.1-point power-rating edge (75.5 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the Piala Presiden, while Persebaya Surabaya holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Persebaya Surabaya
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Persebaya Surabaya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60