Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Varnsdorf · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Přepeře are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Varnsdorf are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Varnsdorf hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Varnsdorf holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Varnsdorf
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Varnsdorf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60