PenybontvsThe New Saints

Penybont are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while The New Saints are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and The New Saints hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Premier League, while Penybont holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.