GGOALVIO

Wales · FAW Championship · 8/1/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Porthmadog · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Penrhyncoch are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Porthmadog are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Porthmadog hold a 75.3-point power-rating edge (11.2 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the FAW Championship, while Porthmadog holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Porthmadog

Probability

54.0%

Model confidence

54.0%

Porthmadog has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PenrhyncochWWWLL

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PorthmadogDLDLL

GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PenrhyncochPorthmadog
16.7Attack66.7
0.0Defence83.3
0.0Form100.0
11.2Power86.5
1.32xG2.22
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