GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 3/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Peninsula Power · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Peninsula Power are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Olympic are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Peninsula Power hold a 22.0-point power-rating edge (67.5 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.5% in the Queensland NPL, while Peninsula Power holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Peninsula Power

Probability

72.5%

Model confidence

72.5%

Peninsula Power has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Peninsula PowerWWLLD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
OlympicLWWLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Peninsula PowerOlympic
74.2Attack59.1
59.1Defence34.8
68.2Form39.4
67.5Power45.4
3.40xG1.27
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