GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 5/23/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Peninsula Power · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Peninsula Power are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Magic United are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Peninsula Power hold a 34.1-point power-rating edge (67.5 v 33.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.3% in the Queensland NPL, while Peninsula Power holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Peninsula Power

Probability

85.3%

Model confidence

85.3%

Peninsula Power has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Peninsula PowerWWWLL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Magic UnitedLLLDL

GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Peninsula PowerMagic United
74.2Attack50.0
59.1Defence10.6
68.2Form33.3
67.5Power33.3
4.50xG1.04
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