Peninsula Powervs
Gold Coast Knights
COMPLETEDAustralia · Queensland NPL · 5/15/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Peninsula Power · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Peninsula Power are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Gold Coast Knights are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Peninsula Power hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (67.5 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the Queensland NPL, while Peninsula Power holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Peninsula Power
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Peninsula Power has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00