GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 5/15/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Peninsula Power · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Peninsula Power are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Gold Coast Knights are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Peninsula Power hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (67.5 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the Queensland NPL, while Peninsula Power holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Peninsula Power

Probability

53.0%

Model confidence

53.0%

Peninsula Power has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Peninsula PowerWWLLW

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Gold Coast KnightsWWDLW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Peninsula PowerGold Coast Knights
74.2Attack69.7
59.1Defence51.5
68.2Form57.6
67.5Power58.9
2.43xG1.56
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