GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 8/14/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Peninsula Power · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Peninsula Power are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Brisbane City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Peninsula Power hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (68.5 v 51.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.4% in the Queensland NPL, while Peninsula Power holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Peninsula Power

Probability

73.1%

Model confidence

8.4%

Peninsula Power has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Peninsula PowerDLDLD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Brisbane CityWLWDD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Peninsula PowerBrisbane City
74.6Attack71.4
60.3Defence27.0
69.8Form52.4
68.5Power51.3
3.76xG1.51
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