Penarolvs
Racing Montevideo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 3/29/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Penarol are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Racing Montevideo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Penarol hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40