PenarolvsCerro Largo

Penarol are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Cerro Largo are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Penarol hold a 17.6-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.3% in the Primera División, while Penarol holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.