PenarolvsCentral Espanol

Penarol are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Central Espanol are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Penarol hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.2% in the Primera División, while Penarol holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.