Penarolvs
Central Espanol
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 6/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Penarol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Penarol are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Central Espanol are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Penarol hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.4% in the Primera División, while Penarol holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Penarol
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
Penarol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00