Penarolvs
Boston River
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 7/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Penarol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Penarol are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Boston River are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Penarol hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.5% in the Primera División, while Penarol holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Penarol
Probability
65.5%
Model confidence
65.5%
Penarol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40