PenarolvsAtletico Torque

Penarol are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Atletico Torque are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Penarol hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 55.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.5% in the Primera División, while Penarol holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.