Pempininkai GargždaivsSirijus Klaipėda

Pempininkai Gargždai are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 3.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Sirijus Klaipėda are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pempininkai Gargždai hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Cup, while Pempininkai Gargždai holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.