Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pelister · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Pelister are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Kamjani are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kamjani hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (76.7 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the Second League, while Pelister holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pelister
Probability
62.4%
Model confidence
12.6%
Pelister has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00