Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Peerless are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while United are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and United hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (40.6 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.1% in the Calcutta Premier Division, while United holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
United
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
17.1%
United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60