GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Do Brasil · 4/22/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vasco DA Gama · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Paysandu are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Vasco DA Gama are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vasco DA Gama hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Copa Do Brasil, while Vasco DA Gama holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vasco DA Gama

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Vasco DA Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PaysanduDDWWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Vasco DA GamaWLDDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
PaysanduVasco DA Gama
66.7Attack58.3
41.7Defence75.0
58.3Form66.7
57.5Power68.0
1.21xG1.40
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