Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Paysandu are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Oriental are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Oriental hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (44.7 v 52.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20