PatronatovsGimnasia Y Tiro

Patronato are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gimnasia Y Tiro are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Y Tiro hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (44.8 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.2% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.