Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Patriotas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Patriotas are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Leones FC are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Patriotas hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 38.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the Primera B, while Patriotas holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Patriotas
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Patriotas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00