Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Patriotas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Bogota FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 48.0 against 48.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.9% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
27.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20