Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ravshan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Parvoz are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLLD), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Ravshan are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ravshan hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (38.6 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Ravshan holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ravshan
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Ravshan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.50/2.25
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00