Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Partick · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Partick are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Brechin are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Partick hold a 64.9-point power-rating edge (75.2 v 10.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.0% in the League Cup, while Partick holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Partick
Probability
67.0%
Model confidence
67.0%
Partick has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40