Parnu JK Vaprus U21vsTallinna Kalev II

COMPLETED

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 6/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Lowconfidence

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Tallinna Kalev II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Parnu JK Vaprus U21 hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 36.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.7% in the Esiliiga B, while Parnu JK Vaprus U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 93% BTTS chance and 97% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Probability

56.4%

Model confidence

6.7%

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Parnu JK Vaprus U21WLLLW

GF 14 · GA 12 · avg 2.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5

Tallinna Kalev IILWWLD

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5

Parnu JK Vaprus U21Tallinna Kalev II

92.4Attack68.2

22.7Defence13.6

50.0Form25.8

53.4Power36.1

4.50xG2.94

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