Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Parndorf · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Parndorf are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Donau are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Parndorf hold a 46.4-point power-rating edge (66.4 v 20.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.5% in the Regionalliga - Ost, while Parndorf holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Parndorf
Probability
65.5%
Model confidence
65.5%
Parndorf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20