Parnahybavs
Sampaio Correa
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Parnahyba are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sampaio Correa are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Sampaio Correa hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60