Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Parma · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Parma are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Arezzo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 60.3 against 59.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Parma holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Parma
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Parma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80