Paris Saint GermainvsAston Villa

Paris Saint Germain are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Aston Villa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Aston Villa hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the UEFA Super Cup, while Paris Saint Germain holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.