GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/1/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Paredes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Paredes are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lusitânia Lourosa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lusitânia Lourosa hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Paredes holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Paredes

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Paredes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ParedesWLDLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Lusitânia LourosaLDDWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ParedesLusitânia Lourosa
33.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence50.0
33.3Form50.0
45.3Power53.0
1.73xG1.55
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