GGOALVIO

Japan · J3 League · 8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Parceiro Nagano are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Renofa Yamaguchi are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Renofa Yamaguchi hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.8% in the J3 League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

33.8%

Model confidence

33.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Parceiro NaganoLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 14 · avg 0.20/2.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Renofa YamaguchiWDLWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Parceiro NaganoRenofa Yamaguchi
45.6Attack16.7
47.4Defence83.3
43.9Form50.0
47.1Power53.0
1.20xG1.22
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