Parceiro Naganovs
Renofa Yamaguchi
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Parceiro Nagano are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Renofa Yamaguchi are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Renofa Yamaguchi hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.8% in the J3 League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.8%
Model confidence
33.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 14 · avg 0.20/2.80
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80