GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 5/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Paraguari AC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Paraguari AC are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sportivo Carapeguá are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Carapeguá hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the Division Intermedia, while Paraguari AC holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Paraguari AC

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

14.8%

Paraguari AC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Paraguari ACLLDLL

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sportivo CarapeguáLDWWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Paraguari ACSportivo Carapeguá
33.3Attack40.7
57.4Defence46.3
35.2Form46.3
44.2Power47.1
1.13xG0.96
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