GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 8/3/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Paraguari AC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Deportivo Capiata are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Capiata hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the Division Intermedia, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

37.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Paraguari ACLWDLD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo CapiataDDLDW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Paraguari ACDeportivo Capiata
33.3Attack44.4
57.4Defence53.7
35.2Form42.6
44.2Power48.8
0.98xG1.05
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