Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paradiso · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Paradiso are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Taverne are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Paradiso hold a 45.4-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Paradiso holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Paradiso
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Paradiso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60