GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Paradiso · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Paradiso are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Bellinzona are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Paradiso hold a 68.3-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 20.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Paradiso holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Paradiso

Probability

57.6%

Model confidence

57.6%

Paradiso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ParadisoWWLLD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BellinzonaLLWLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ParadisoBellinzona
100.0Attack20.0
66.7Defence6.7
100.0Form20.0
88.7Power20.4
3.07xG1.02
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