Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PAOK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
PAOK are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Twente are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Twente hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 59.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while PAOK holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PAOK
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
PAOK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60