PAOKvs
AEK Larnaca
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PAOK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
PAOK are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while AEK Larnaca are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and PAOK hold a 17.5-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while PAOK holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PAOK
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
PAOK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40