GGOALVIO

Lithuania · A Lyga · 2/22/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Suduva Marijampole · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Panevėžys are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Suduva Marijampole are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Suduva Marijampole hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (42.9 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.3% in the A Lyga, while Suduva Marijampole holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Suduva Marijampole

Probability

61.3%

Model confidence

61.3%

Suduva Marijampole has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PanevėžysWWWWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Suduva MarijampoleWWWDL

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PanevėžysSuduva Marijampole
36.1Attack53.6
45.8Defence75.4
40.3Form60.9
42.9Power63.5
0.55xG1.68
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