Panevėžysvs
Suduva Marijampole
COMPLETEDLithuania · A Lyga · 2/22/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suduva Marijampole · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Panevėžys are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Suduva Marijampole are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Suduva Marijampole hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (42.9 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.3% in the A Lyga, while Suduva Marijampole holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Suduva Marijampole
Probability
61.3%
Model confidence
61.3%
Suduva Marijampole has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00