GGOALVIO

Lithuania · A Lyga · 3/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Panevėžys · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Panevėžys are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Hegelmann Litauen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Panevėžys hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (42.9 v 38.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the A Lyga, while Panevėžys holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Panevėžys

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Panevėžys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PanevėžysLDWWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hegelmann LitauenDLWLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PanevėžysHegelmann Litauen
36.1Attack34.7
45.8Defence45.3
40.3Form30.7
42.9Power38.9
1.29xG1.01
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