Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Panevėžys · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Panevėžys are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while FK Trakai are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Panevėžys hold a 28.7-point power-rating edge (42.9 v 14.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.4% in the A Lyga, while Panevėžys holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Panevėžys
Probability
62.4%
Model confidence
62.4%
Panevėžys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 1 · GA 16 · avg 0.20/3.20