GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 2/26/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Palmeiras · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Palmeiras are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fluminense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Palmeiras hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the Serie A, while Palmeiras holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Palmeiras

Probability

53.5%

Model confidence

53.5%

Palmeiras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PalmeirasWWDWW

GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FluminenseWDWWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PalmeirasFluminense
58.0Attack49.3
72.5Defence59.4
69.6Form55.1
67.7Power57.2
1.56xG0.72
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