Palmeirasvs
Cerro Porteno
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 8/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palmeiras · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Palmeiras are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cerro Porteno are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Palmeiras hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (75.2 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while Palmeiras holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Palmeiras
Probability
68.2%
Model confidence
13.7%
Palmeiras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00