Palmeirasvs
Cerro Porteno
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 5/21/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Palmeiras are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cerro Porteno are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerro Porteno hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (61.3 v 64.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40