GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 5/21/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Palmeiras are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cerro Porteno are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerro Porteno hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (61.3 v 64.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PalmeirasDWDWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Cerro PortenoWDWLW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
PalmeirasCerro Porteno
52.4Attack33.3
71.4Defence85.7
57.1Form66.7
61.3Power64.6
0.97xG0.68
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