Palmeirasvs
Atletico Paranaense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 4/19/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palmeiras · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Palmeiras are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atletico Paranaense are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Palmeiras hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Serie A, while Palmeiras holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Palmeiras
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Palmeiras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20