GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 4/19/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Palmeiras · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Palmeiras are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atletico Paranaense are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Palmeiras hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Serie A, while Palmeiras holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Palmeiras

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

41.9%

Palmeiras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PalmeirasWDDWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico ParanaenseWLLWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PalmeirasAtletico Paranaense
58.0Attack44.9
72.5Defence71.0
69.6Form59.4
67.7Power60.0
1.10xG0.66
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