GGOALVIO

Chile · Copa Chile · 7/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportes Santa Cruz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Palestino are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Deportes Santa Cruz are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Santa Cruz hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 68.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Copa Chile, while Deportes Santa Cruz holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportes Santa Cruz

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

Deportes Santa Cruz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PalestinoWLDLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Deportes Santa CruzWDWWD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PalestinoDeportes Santa Cruz
66.7Attack61.1
50.0Defence66.7
55.6Form72.2
58.6Power68.4
1.55xG1.66
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