Palestinovs
D. La Serena
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 5/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palestino · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Palestino are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while D. La Serena are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Palestino hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Primera División, while Palestino holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Palestino
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Palestino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80