GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 5/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Palestino · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Palestino are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while D. La Serena are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Palestino hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Primera División, while Palestino holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Palestino

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

Palestino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PalestinoLDLWL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
D. La SerenaDDWLD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PalestinoD. La Serena
48.1Attack49.1
51.9Defence45.6
50.0Form40.4
51.2Power46.2
1.71xG1.27
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