GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 8/1/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Palestino · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Palestino are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Coquimbo Unido are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Coquimbo Unido hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 53.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.0% in the Primera División, while Palestino holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Palestino

Probability

34.0%

Model confidence

34.0%

Palestino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PalestinoLWWLD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Coquimbo UnidoDDWDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
PalestinoCoquimbo Unido
48.1Attack47.1
51.9Defence58.8
50.0Form49.0
51.2Power53.3
1.27xG1.25
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