Palestinovs
Concepción
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 4/24/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palestino · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Palestino are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Concepción are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Palestino hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Primera División, while Palestino holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Palestino
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Palestino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00