GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 4/24/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Palestino · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Palestino are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Concepción are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Palestino hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Primera División, while Palestino holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Palestino

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Palestino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PalestinoWLWDL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ConcepciónDLLLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
PalestinoConcepción
48.1Attack37.0
51.9Defence57.4
50.0Form42.6
51.2Power47.4
1.34xG0.96
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